From this month’s white-labeled client letter:
“Investing is the only business I know that when things go on sale, people run out of the store” – Mark Yusko.
On March 23rd, 2020, the S&P 500 closed at 2,237.
Will we ever see prices like that again in our lifetime?
History says no.
On October 12th of this year, the S&P 500 closed at 3,577. At the time, it was down 24.49% year-to-date. However, it was still over 5% higher than the pre-pandemic February 14th, 2020, high of 3,380.
It would have had to drop over 37% to reach the March 2020 low.
In other words, at what might have been the trough of the current bear market, the S&P 500 would have had to drop another 37% to hit the trough of the last bear market just two years before.
Would you have believed me if I told you in March 2020 that you would never see prices like this again in your lifetime?
What if I said that again today, with the S&P 500 sitting at 4,026 after a 12.46% rally in the S&P 500 from October 12th to November 25th?1
You may never see prices this low again in your lifetime.
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